Wednesday 6 July 2016

Tour de France 2016 Stage 5: Van Avermaet wins and takes Yellow


Ask yourself the following question: How many times, seriously, does an early break at the Tour de France stay away all the way to the finish? Think about it. Including mountain top finishes, it is usually a maximum of three stages, although usually only two... In other words each break away has less than a 10% chance of staying away - or more than a 90% chance of being caught. Fairly grim.

Why am I starting there? Well, Greg van Avermaet writes his own statistics. Stage 5 of 2016 was the third time in his career that Greg van Avermaet got into an early break. what's more important is that ALL of the Tour de France breaks that Greg has gotten into have stayed away till the finish.

However, out of all of those, stage 5 of the 2016 Tour de France was by far the most dominant.


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